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Red30
672217.1
20804.9
87914.4
Blue69
832419.7
884123.0
87888.4
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31500204060801003069

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6722
#38
17.10.4
16.516.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End1.6
blue by 5.9
23.00.7
20.721.4
Auto11.2
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Second
2080
#59
4.90.6
10.29.6
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End0.7
blue by 14.8
8324
#12
19.70.7
15.015.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Third
8791
#58
4.40.6
3.73.1
Auto3.7
Teleop0.2
End0.5
blue by 4.0
8788
#42
8.40.7
7.68.3
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed