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Red63
555730.6
23317.9
15574.9
Blue38
27977.8
186021.5
514516.0
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions554302060801006338

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.60.7
26.427.1
Auto12.7
Teleop15.6
End2.4
red by 9.1
21.50.2
18.318.1
Auto9.4
Teleop10.6
End1.5
Second
233
#11
17.90.7
13.113.8
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.7
red by 1.9
5145
#26
16.00.1
13.613.4
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
1557
#47
4.91.1
8.49.5
Auto2.6
Teleop1.7
End0.6
blue by 2.9
2797
#60
7.80.2
8.48.2
Auto5.1
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsEarned18%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed