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Red30
31646.9
13697.7
90408.6
Blue39
409110.6
97287.7
832419.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions213901030506070803039

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9040
#36
8.60.6
8.28.9
Auto1.0
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 11.1
8324
#12
19.70.4
15.716.1
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
1369
#48
7.71.0
5.56.5
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.7
blue by 2.9
4091
#30
10.60.6
9.09.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.6
Third
3164
#57
6.90.6
7.27.8
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 0.8
9728
#43
7.70.6
8.69.2
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned13%Ensemble oddsMissed