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Red58
80579.6
74410.5
858124.5
Blue43
94029.8
672217.1
17447.6
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions363730404550555843

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
24.51.2
15.917.0
Auto8.8
Teleop13.2
End2.5
red by 7.4
6722
#38
17.10.0
16.216.2
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End1.6
Second
744
#28
10.50.7
8.39.0
Auto2.0
Teleop5.6
End2.8
red by 0.7
9402
#46
9.80.0
10.010.0
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End2.6
Third
8057
#52
9.61.2
8.59.6
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End1.6
red by 2.0
1744
#40
7.60.0
7.07.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsEarned