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Red43
393216.9
152316.7
159218.1
Blue61
38624.2
105619.6
406518.3
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions485430406070804361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1592
#25
18.10.1
14.714.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.8
End2.8
blue by 6.1
386
#14
24.20.9
20.121.0
Auto8.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
Second
3932
#23
16.90.1
15.715.6
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.1
blue by 2.7
1056
#10
19.60.9
14.515.4
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.1
Third
1523
#15
16.70.1
13.813.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.6
blue by 1.6
4065
#13
18.31.5
13.314.7
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
36%Melody oddsMissed26%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed