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Red51
877516.3
31646.9
23317.9
Blue11
80669.5
40248.0
13697.7
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions442802060801005111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#11
17.90.9
13.814.7
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.7
red by 8.4
8066
#39
9.51.4
10.79.3
Auto4.6
Teleop3.9
End1.0
Second
8775
#20
16.30.9
16.016.9
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 8.3
4024
#37
8.02.3
9.87.5
Auto4.7
Teleop1.4
End1.9
Third
3164
#57
6.90.9
7.88.7
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End1.2
blue by 0.8
1369
#48
7.72.3
6.54.1
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed20%Ensemble oddsMissed