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Red83
694823.6
18040.6
74596.8
Blue70
581619.6
832419.7
740315.5
80%Model gave it20%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754902040601001201408370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#5
40.60.6
37.838.4
Auto15.0
Teleop22.6
End2.9
red by 20.9
8324
#12
19.70.6
16.116.6
Auto7.5
Teleop10.4
End1.9
Second
6948
#16
23.61.0
19.220.2
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 4.0
5816
#27
19.60.6
16.817.3
Auto7.7
Teleop11.3
End0.6
Third
7459
#34
6.80.6
7.47.9
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.7
blue by 8.7
7403
#24
15.51.0
14.515.5
Auto5.6
Teleop8.6
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
74%Melody oddsEarned23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned16%Ensemble oddsMissed