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Red27
97287.7
27977.8
401313.6
Blue88
5930.5
707213.2
514516.0
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275702040801001202788

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4013
#45
13.60.0
10.410.3
Auto3.9
Teleop8.8
End0.9
blue by 16.9
59
#1
30.51.7
21.823.5
Auto8.7
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Second
2797
#60
7.80.1
8.28.1
Auto5.1
Teleop2.1
End0.6
blue by 8.2
5145
#26
16.01.7
13.415.1
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Third
9728
#43
7.70.1
9.29.1
Auto2.6
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 5.4
7072
#50
13.21.7
12.514.2
Auto2.9
Teleop7.6
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
10%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsEarned