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Red42
362711.2
584223.7
962710.0
Blue20
90408.6
409110.6
2115.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions37370102030506070804220

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.1
21.321.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
red by 7.9
21
#21
15.90.9
15.214.3
Auto2.7
Teleop11.5
End1.7
Second
3627
#29
11.20.1
7.77.9
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.8
red by 0.5
4091
#30
10.61.5
9.68.1
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.6
Third
9627
#32
10.00.2
4.44.6
Auto3.4
Teleop5.3
End1.2
red by 1.4
9040
#36
8.60.9
8.97.9
Auto1.0
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed