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Red70
8622.2
152316.7
406518.3
Blue29
17447.6
87888.4
215211.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5824040801001207029

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#9
22.20.8
19.820.6
Auto7.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
red by 10.5
2152
#44
11.60.2
10.110.3
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End0.3
Second
4065
#13
18.31.3
14.716.0
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End2.0
red by 9.9
8788
#42
8.40.2
8.89.0
Auto4.0
Teleop3.5
End0.9
Third
1523
#15
16.70.8
13.714.5
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.6
red by 9.1
1744
#40
7.60.2
7.07.2
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
32%Melody oddsEarned10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed