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Red32
90408.6
694823.6
97785.9
Blue72
555730.6
647311.4
884123.0
3%Model gave it97%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34730204060801001203272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6948
#16
23.61.5
20.218.7
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End2.7
blue by 7.0
30.60.4
27.527.8
Auto12.7
Teleop15.6
End2.4
Second
9040
#36
8.60.9
7.97.1
Auto1.0
Teleop5.3
End2.2
blue by 14.5
23.00.4
22.522.8
Auto11.2
Teleop8.9
End2.9
Third
9778
#56
5.91.5
7.15.6
Auto3.3
Teleop1.9
End0.7
blue by 5.6
6473
#31
11.40.4
11.612.0
Auto3.0
Teleop6.1
End2.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
18%Melody oddsMissed49%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsEarned