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Red48
40248.0
409110.6
584223.7
Blue32
514516.0
80579.6
93132.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423002060801004832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.70.4
21.421.8
Auto7.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
red by 7.7
5145
#26
16.00.4
15.114.7
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End1.6
Second
4091
#30
10.60.7
8.18.8
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.6
red by 1.1
8057
#52
9.60.7
9.68.9
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Third
4024
#37
8.00.7
7.58.1
Auto4.7
Teleop1.4
End1.9
red by 5.4
9313
#55
2.60.4
3.83.4
Auto0.3
Teleop1.0
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
28%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed25%Ensemble oddsMissed