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Red65
74410.5
8622.2
80124.1
Blue55
17934.1
13697.7
27977.8
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions614702040801006555

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
801
#18
24.10.8
23.424.2
Auto9.7
Teleop11.8
End2.6
blue by 10.0
179
#4
34.10.4
31.431.8
Auto15.3
Teleop12.7
End6.0
Second
86
#9
22.20.8
20.621.3
Auto7.6
Teleop12.0
End2.5
red by 14.4
2797
#60
7.80.6
7.88.4
Auto5.1
Teleop2.1
End0.6
Third
744
#28
10.50.8
9.310.1
Auto2.0
Teleop5.6
End2.8
red by 2.8
1369
#48
7.70.6
5.15.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
42%Melody oddsEarned34%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
13%Ensemble oddsEarned37%Ensemble oddsMissed