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Red40
20804.9
38624.2
877516.3
Blue53
7910.1
17447.6
18040.6
34%Model gave it66%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions54632040801004053

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#14
24.21.0
22.421.4
Auto8.1
Teleop13.4
End2.7
blue by 16.4
180
#5
40.60.2
39.138.9
Auto15.0
Teleop22.6
End2.9
Second
8775
#20
16.31.0
17.616.6
Auto7.2
Teleop8.2
End0.9
red by 6.2
79
#17
10.10.2
9.59.3
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End0.6
Third
2080
#59
4.91.7
10.18.4
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End0.7
blue by 2.7
1744
#40
7.60.2
7.27.0
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed55%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
17%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed