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Red55
362711.2
186021.5
93008.4
Blue37
401313.6
652710.0
80579.6
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403202060801005537

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.51.0
20.221.1
Auto9.4
Teleop10.6
End1.5
red by 7.9
4013
#45
13.60.5
12.012.5
Auto3.9
Teleop8.8
End0.9
Second
3627
#29
11.21.0
9.210.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.8
red by 1.2
6527
#53
10.00.7
9.09.7
Auto4.1
Teleop3.8
End2.1
Third
9300
#33
8.41.0
6.27.1
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End0.8
blue by 1.2
8057
#52
9.60.7
9.19.8
Auto4.8
Teleop3.2
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed15%Ensemble oddsMissed