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Red26
63225.3
393216.9
40248.0
Blue49
409110.6
7910.1
152316.7
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions313701020506070802649

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3932
#23
16.90.2
17.016.8
Auto5.2
Teleop9.6
End2.1
red by 0.2
1523
#15
16.71.1
14.615.7
Auto4.1
Teleop11.0
End1.6
Second
4024
#37
8.00.3
6.86.4
Auto4.7
Teleop1.4
End1.9
blue by 2.7
4091
#30
10.61.7
8.910.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.6
Third
6322
#61
5.30.3
5.24.9
Auto1.7
Teleop2.7
End0.8
blue by 4.9
79
#17
10.11.1
9.310.4
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed4%Ensemble oddsMissed