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Red62
94029.8
27977.8
18040.6
Blue34
584223.7
74596.8
31646.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions663602060801006234

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#5
40.60.4
39.239.5
Auto15.0
Teleop22.6
End2.9
red by 16.9
23.70.2
22.522.4
Auto7.4
Teleop14.3
End2.0
Second
9402
#46
9.80.4
10.010.3
Auto3.8
Teleop3.4
End2.6
red by 2.9
3164
#57
6.90.2
7.06.9
Auto2.7
Teleop2.9
End1.2
Third
2797
#60
7.80.5
7.27.8
Auto5.1
Teleop2.1
End0.6
red by 1.0
7459
#34
6.80.2
7.06.8
Auto1.5
Teleop3.6
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
31%Melody oddsMissed28%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed10%Ensemble oddsMissed