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Red92
13697.7
694823.6
17447.6
Blue45
87914.4
32429.5
159218.1
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions393102060809245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6948
#16
23.61.2
21.422.6
Auto9.6
Teleop11.3
End2.7
red by 5.5
1592
#25
18.10.8
17.017.7
Auto7.5
Teleop7.8
End2.8
Second
1369
#48
7.71.2
6.57.7
Auto2.3
Teleop3.7
End1.7
blue by 1.8
3242
#51
9.51.1
8.49.5
Auto3.5
Teleop5.0
End0.9
Third
1744
#40
7.60.8
6.77.6
Auto3.2
Teleop2.2
End2.2
red by 3.1
8791
#58
4.41.1
3.34.4
Auto3.7
Teleop0.2
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed17%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
20%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsMissed