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Red46
514516.0
23317.9
409110.6
Blue29
190218.6
20804.9
215211.6
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions504002060804629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
233
#11
17.90.0
17.117.1
Auto5.0
Teleop12.3
End0.7
blue by 0.6
1902
#19
18.60.9
18.717.8
Auto2.9
Teleop12.7
End2.9
Second
5145
#26
16.00.0
16.016.0
Auto7.1
Teleop7.3
End1.6
red by 4.4
2152
#44
11.60.9
12.511.6
Auto6.1
Teleop5.1
End0.3
Third
4091
#30
10.60.0
10.610.6
Auto4.9
Teleop5.1
End0.6
red by 5.7
2080
#59
4.91.3
6.24.9
Auto3.1
Teleop1.1
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
23%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed