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Red61
186021.5
7910.1
17934.1
Blue65
858124.5
362711.2
406518.3
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7452204060801001206165

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#4
34.10.2
33.032.7
Auto15.3
Teleop12.7
End6.0
red by 9.6
24.51.4
22.023.4
Auto8.8
Teleop13.2
End2.5
Second
21.50.2
21.120.9
Auto9.4
Teleop10.6
End1.5
red by 3.3
4065
#13
18.31.4
17.919.3
Auto5.7
Teleop10.6
End2.0
Third
79
#17
10.10.2
10.410.2
Auto2.8
Teleop6.7
End0.6
blue by 1.1
3627
#29
11.21.0
10.211.2
Auto2.6
Teleop7.7
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
77%Melody oddsEarned37%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
34%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed