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Red63
105619.6
93008.4
672217.1
Blue68
90408.6
5930.5
40248.0
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions464630405060706368

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1056
#10
19.61.3
17.719.0
Auto6.7
Teleop10.9
End2.1
blue by 10.9
59
#1
30.51.1
28.229.2
Auto8.7
Teleop16.9
End4.9
Second
6722
#38
17.11.3
16.618.0
Auto6.8
Teleop8.8
End1.6
red by 8.5
9040
#36
8.61.1
7.58.6
Auto1.0
Teleop5.3
End2.2
Third
9300
#33
8.41.3
7.18.4
Auto4.6
Teleop3.0
End0.8
red by 0.4
4024
#37
8.01.5
6.48.0
Auto4.7
Teleop1.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
21%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed16%Ensemble oddsEarned