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Red2
8616.9
41791.3
31648.2
Blue60
18035.3
57229.7
86249.2
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2746020406080100260

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#19
16.92.8
13.911.2
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 18.5
180
#3
35.31.4
24.125.4
Auto12.2
Teleop20.5
End2.7
Second
3164
#29
8.22.8
6.84.0
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End0.6
blue by 1.5
5722
#35
9.72.3
5.57.8
Auto5.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Third
4179
#44
1.32.8
6.43.6
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End1.0
blue by 7.9
8624
#28
9.22.3
10.112.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed41%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed