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Red31
61849.4
97647.6
884118.1
Blue41
105611.1
527613.9
264114.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions40350102030506070803141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#27
18.10.5
14.013.5
Auto9.8
Teleop5.9
End2.4
red by 3.2
2641
#12
14.90.3
13.614.0
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End2.4
Second
6184
#21
9.40.5
10.49.9
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 4.5
5276
#23
13.90.5
9.810.3
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Third
9764
#42
7.60.5
10.910.5
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 3.5
1056
#14
11.10.5
8.58.9
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
16%Melody oddsMissed20%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed6%Ensemble oddsMissed