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Red44
8616.9
45628.0
97647.6
Blue93
940412.1
11833.8
457615.1
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions286302040801001204493

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86
#19
16.90.3
11.211.4
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 16.9
118
#1
33.80.7
28.329.0
Auto15.0
Teleop15.1
End3.7
Second
4562
#22
8.00.3
8.08.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.8
blue by 7.0
15.11.1
15.316.5
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.3
Third
9764
#42
7.60.3
10.510.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 4.5
9404
#24
12.10.7
9.29.9
Auto5.5
Teleop4.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
14%Melody oddsMissed35%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsEarned21%Ensemble oddsEarned