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Red45
70729.8
264114.9
255615.8
Blue45
105611.1
8616.9
96989.2
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45270204060804545

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2556
#11
15.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.8
blue by 1.1
86
#19
16.9
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
2641
#12
14.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End2.4
red by 3.9
1056
#14
11.1
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
Third
7072
#34
9.8
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End2.1
red by 0.6
9698
#33
9.2
Auto4.9
Teleop2.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsEarned11%Ensemble oddsMissed