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Red54
190217.4
97647.6
38619.8
Blue68
45628.0
2113.6
711118.7
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions44390102030506070805468

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#5
19.81.7
15.116.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End1.8
red by 1.1
7111
#17
18.71.9
13.815.7
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Second
1902
#37
17.41.7
13.114.8
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End2.2
red by 3.8
21
#8
13.61.9
13.815.7
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Third
9764
#42
7.61.7
10.712.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End0.9
blue by 0.5
4562
#22
8.01.9
8.210.1
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsEarned14%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed