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Red30
527613.9
94936.6
64738.5
Blue49
97115.7
581614.8
672214.0
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2938010205060703049

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5276
#23
13.90.3
11.812.2
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End1.8
blue by 0.9
14.80.6
11.812.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
6473
#15
8.50.3
7.37.7
Auto1.9
Teleop4.6
End2.0
blue by 5.5
14.00.6
11.912.6
Auto7.5
Teleop5.5
End1.1
Third
9493
#32
6.60.3
8.08.3
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
red by 0.9
9711
#31
5.70.6
9.710.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed12%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
7%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsEarned