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Red40
18035.3
45628.0
87785.0
Blue65
87887.3
255615.8
832413.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions513602060801004065

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
35.30.3
28.428.1
Auto12.2
Teleop20.5
End2.7
red by 19.5
2556
#11
15.80.2
14.914.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Second
4562
#22
8.00.5
10.19.6
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.8
blue by 5.4
8324
#25
13.50.2
13.012.8
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.0
Third
8778
#40
5.00.5
6.15.6
Auto0.9
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 2.3
8788
#26
7.30.2
6.76.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
44%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsEarned