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Red51
581614.8
940412.1
41791.3
Blue29
411810.6
70729.8
797.9
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions303610204050605129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
14.81.5
15.116.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 4.1
4118
#39
10.60.3
11.711.3
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Second
9404
#24
12.10.9
9.810.7
Auto5.5
Teleop4.1
End2.5
red by 2.3
7072
#34
9.80.3
11.010.7
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End2.1
Third
4179
#44
1.31.5
2.74.2
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End1.0
blue by 6.6
79
#36
7.90.3
9.39.0
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsMissed24%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
31%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed