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Red64
97207.2
38619.8
884118.1
Blue35
94936.6
93005.3
190217.4
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423201020506070806435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#5
19.81.7
16.818.5
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End1.8
red by 2.4
1902
#37
17.40.6
15.115.6
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Second
8841
#27
18.11.7
15.617.3
Auto9.8
Teleop5.9
End2.4
red by 11.6
9493
#32
6.60.6
8.38.8
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Third
9720
#38
7.21.7
4.66.3
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End0.7
red by 2.0
9300
#41
5.30.6
6.67.2
Auto3.8
Teleop0.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed8%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned5%Ensemble oddsMissed