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Red55
86249.2
10829.0
64738.5
Blue35
97647.6
541010.6
527613.9
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514102060801005535

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
108
#2
29.00.5
24.925.4
Auto9.6
Teleop17.5
End1.9
red by 15.1
5276
#23
13.90.9
12.711.8
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End1.8
Second
8624
#28
9.20.9
10.511.4
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
blue by 1.4
5410
#16
10.60.6
13.312.7
Auto5.6
Teleop3.5
End1.5
Third
6473
#15
8.50.9
9.710.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 0.9
9764
#42
7.60.9
12.511.6
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
29%Melody oddsMissed11%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
4%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed