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Red56
581614.8
105611.1
547223.1
Blue36
87887.3
8616.9
70729.8
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions593202040801005636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#13
23.10.1
23.823.7
Auto5.9
Teleop15.7
End1.5
red by 6.2
86
#19
16.90.4
15.215.6
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End2.3
Second
14.80.1
16.516.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.9
red by 5.0
7072
#34
9.80.4
10.711.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End2.1
Third
1056
#14
11.10.1
9.79.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 3.8
8788
#26
7.30.4
6.67.0
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
40%Melody oddsEarned22%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed