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Red29
96989.2
87785.0
940412.1
Blue21
41791.3
411810.6
711118.7
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions24360102030405060702921

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9404
#24
12.10.4
10.711.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.1
End2.5
blue by 6.7
7111
#17
18.71.1
15.314.2
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Second
9698
#33
9.20.7
6.87.4
Auto4.9
Teleop2.2
End2.1
blue by 1.4
4118
#39
10.61.1
11.310.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Third
8778
#40
5.00.7
5.66.3
Auto0.9
Teleop2.8
End1.3
red by 3.7
4179
#44
1.31.1
4.23.1
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
5%Melody oddsMissed15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed7%Ensemble oddsMissed