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Red40
457615.1
94936.6
58729.7
Blue40
255615.8
86249.2
2113.6
25%Model gave it75%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions35480204060804040

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
15.1
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.3
blue by 0.7
2556
#11
15.8
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.8
Second
5872
#10
9.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End0.4
blue by 3.9
21
#8
13.6
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End1.6
Third
9493
#32
6.6
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
blue by 2.7
8624
#28
9.2
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
9%Melody oddsEarned15%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed