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Red45
190217.4
527613.9
31648.2
Blue32
57229.7
2338.6
93005.3
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions402501020305060704532

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1902
#37
17.40.9
15.616.5
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End2.2
red by 7.7
5722
#35
9.70.6
9.910.5
Auto5.9
Teleop3.5
End0.2
Second
5276
#23
13.90.9
11.812.7
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End1.8
red by 5.3
233
#43
8.60.6
7.48.0
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Third
3164
#29
8.20.9
7.48.3
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End0.6
red by 3.0
9300
#41
5.30.6
7.27.8
Auto3.8
Teleop0.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
12%Melody oddsMissed5%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
5%Ensemble oddsMissed5%Ensemble oddsMissed