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Red25
541010.6
264114.9
97115.7
Blue71
11833.8
61849.4
38619.8
4%Model gave it96%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions356802060801002571

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2641
#12
14.90.7
14.613.9
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End2.4
blue by 18.9
118
#1
33.80.8
30.231.0
Auto15.0
Teleop15.1
End3.7
Second
5410
#16
10.60.7
12.712.0
Auto5.6
Teleop3.5
End1.5
blue by 9.2
386
#5
19.81.3
18.519.8
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End1.8
Third
9711
#31
5.71.2
8.57.3
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
blue by 3.7
6184
#21
9.41.3
8.910.1
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
11%Melody oddsMissed38%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsEarned