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Red37
58729.7
64738.5
2113.6
Blue17
94936.6
93131.7
41791.3
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42702060803717

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21
#8
13.60.8
15.915.1
Auto3.7
Teleop8.4
End1.6
red by 7.0
9493
#32
6.60.4
8.88.5
Auto2.0
Teleop4.0
End0.6
Second
5872
#10
9.70.5
9.99.4
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End0.4
red by 8.0
9313
#30
1.70.3
-1.7-2.1
Auto0.1
Teleop0.4
End1.2
Third
6473
#15
8.50.7
8.27.4
Auto1.9
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 7.2
4179
#44
1.30.3
3.12.8
Auto1.7
Teleop-1.4
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
19%Melody oddsMissed4%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsEarned6%Ensemble oddsEarned