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Red66
457615.1
8616.9
18035.3
Blue53
884118.1
411810.6
190217.4
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6946204060801001206653

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
35.30.4
29.730.2
Auto12.2
Teleop20.5
End2.7
red by 17.2
8841
#27
18.10.1
17.817.7
Auto9.8
Teleop5.9
End2.4
Second
86
#19
16.90.7
15.616.3
Auto5.0
Teleop9.6
End2.3
blue by 0.5
1902
#37
17.40.1
16.516.5
Auto3.2
Teleop12.0
End2.2
Third
15.10.7
14.515.2
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.3
red by 4.5
4118
#39
10.60.1
10.210.2
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
62%Melody oddsEarned9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
15%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed