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Red42
38619.8
797.9
264114.9
Blue31
31648.2
832413.5
2338.6
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48290204060801004231

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
386
#5
19.80.4
19.819.4
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End1.8
red by 6.3
8324
#25
13.50.2
12.312.5
Auto6.2
Teleop5.4
End2.0
Second
2641
#12
14.90.3
13.913.6
Auto4.2
Teleop8.3
End2.4
red by 6.4
233
#43
8.60.2
8.08.3
Auto2.8
Teleop4.9
End1.0
Third
79
#36
7.90.4
7.36.9
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End-0.0
blue by 0.3
3164
#29
8.20.2
8.38.5
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
26%Melody oddsMissed7%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed