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Red36
86249.2
514513.3
61849.4
Blue29
581614.8
70729.8
45628.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39421020305060703629

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5145
#20
13.30.5
14.013.5
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End1.6
blue by 1.4
14.80.9
16.415.5
Auto3.5
Teleop10.3
End0.9
Second
6184
#21
9.40.5
10.19.7
Auto3.9
Teleop4.3
End1.2
blue by 0.4
7072
#34
9.81.0
11.110.1
Auto2.6
Teleop5.1
End2.1
Third
8624
#28
9.20.5
11.410.9
Auto4.1
Teleop4.3
End0.9
red by 1.2
4562
#22
8.00.9
10.19.2
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
6%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed