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Red54
547223.1
527613.9
87887.3
Blue39
711118.7
96989.2
238319.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48450204060801005439

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5472
#13
23.10.3
23.423.7
Auto5.9
Teleop15.7
End1.5
red by 3.6
2383
#18
19.50.5
19.118.6
Auto5.3
Teleop13.0
End1.3
Second
5276
#23
13.90.4
12.713.1
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End1.8
blue by 4.8
7111
#17
18.70.7
14.213.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.9
Third
8788
#26
7.30.4
7.07.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
blue by 1.9
9698
#33
9.20.8
7.46.7
Auto4.9
Teleop2.2
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsEarned44%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
9%Ensemble oddsMissed8%Ensemble oddsMissed