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Red56
672214.0
884118.1
105611.1
Blue44
75008.4
58729.7
940412.1
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4526010203040506070805644

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8841
#27
18.11.2
17.718.9
Auto9.8
Teleop5.9
End2.4
red by 6.1
9404
#24
12.10.3
10.811.1
Auto5.5
Teleop4.1
End2.5
Second
14.01.2
11.812.9
Auto7.5
Teleop5.5
End1.1
red by 4.3
5872
#10
9.70.3
9.49.7
Auto3.0
Teleop6.3
End0.4
Third
1056
#14
11.11.3
9.210.5
Auto4.2
Teleop5.5
End1.3
red by 2.6
8.40.4
5.45.8
Auto4.1
Teleop3.3
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
10%Ensemble oddsMissed23%Ensemble oddsEarned