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Red26
93005.3
411810.6
87785.0
Blue10
97207.2
97115.7
97647.6
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions26280204060801002610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4118
#39
10.60.4
10.29.8
Auto3.4
Teleop5.2
End2.0
red by 3.0
9764
#42
7.61.4
8.97.4
Auto3.0
Teleop3.7
End0.9
Second
9300
#41
5.30.4
7.57.2
Auto3.8
Teleop0.3
End1.2
blue by 2.0
9720
#38
7.21.4
9.07.6
Auto2.4
Teleop4.1
End0.7
Third
8778
#40
5.00.4
6.05.6
Auto0.9
Teleop2.8
End1.3
blue by 0.7
9711
#31
5.71.4
7.05.6
Auto3.1
Teleop1.8
End0.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
4%Melody oddsMissed10%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed