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Red41
457615.1
64738.5
255615.8
Blue28
38619.8
31648.2
87887.3
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4139203050604128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2556
#11
15.80.2
14.414.6
Auto5.9
Teleop8.1
End1.8
blue by 4.0
386
#5
19.80.7
19.418.7
Auto7.5
Teleop10.5
End1.8
Second
15.10.2
15.215.4
Auto5.5
Teleop8.3
End1.3
red by 6.9
3164
#29
8.20.7
8.57.8
Auto3.9
Teleop3.7
End0.6
Third
6473
#15
8.50.2
7.47.6
Auto1.9
Teleop4.6
End2.0
red by 1.2
8788
#26
7.30.7
7.46.7
Auto3.0
Teleop3.2
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
17%Melody oddsMissed13%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
14%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed