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Red97
527613.9
18035.3
711118.7
Blue49
797.9
514513.3
11833.8
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6456304050607080901001109749

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
180
#3
35.32.0
30.232.2
Auto12.2
Teleop20.5
End2.7
red by 1.5
118
#1
33.80.2
31.130.9
Auto15.0
Teleop15.1
End3.7
Second
7111
#17
18.72.9
13.516.5
Auto7.6
Teleop9.2
End1.9
red by 5.4
5145
#20
13.30.2
13.513.3
Auto5.5
Teleop6.2
End1.6
Third
5276
#23
13.92.9
13.116.0
Auto5.4
Teleop6.6
End1.8
red by 6.0
79
#36
7.90.2
6.96.7
Auto2.7
Teleop5.2
End-0.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
58%Melody oddsEarned38%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
6%Ensemble oddsMissed19%Ensemble oddsMissed