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Red28
541010.6
5918.8
78336.7
Blue58
547223.9
631717.2
881712.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions39442530355055602858

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
59
#21
18.80.9
17.116.2
Auto4.5
Teleop12.4
End1.9
blue by 5.1
23.92.1
17.419.5
Auto6.8
Teleop16.0
End1.0
Second
5410
#27
10.60.9
11.010.1
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End0.6
blue by 6.6
17.22.1
10.512.6
Auto7.0
Teleop8.3
End1.9
Third
7833
#36
6.70.9
7.87.0
Auto3.1
Teleop3.2
End0.4
blue by 5.6
8817
#28
12.22.1
11.313.4
Auto2.9
Teleop7.7
End1.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
22%Melody oddsMissed23%Melody oddsEarned
Ensemble
11%Ensemble oddsMissed11%Ensemble oddsMissed