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Red61
17930.3
18023.4
584214.0
Blue41
317318.6
69419.1
10822.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions525530406070806141

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
179
#1
30.31.4
18.419.8
Auto14.1
Teleop10.4
End5.7
red by 7.4
108
#5
22.91.9
13.912.0
Auto10.4
Teleop11.4
End1.1
Second
180
#2
23.41.4
18.419.8
Auto8.0
Teleop13.0
End2.4
red by 4.3
694
#7
19.11.9
20.018.1
Auto6.4
Teleop10.6
End2.1
Third
5842
#12
14.01.4
11.813.2
Auto7.1
Teleop5.3
End1.6
blue by 4.6
3173
#15
18.61.9
14.412.4
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
27%Melody oddsEarned27%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
12%Ensemble oddsMissed12%Ensemble oddsMissed