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Red43
630019.2
36275.1
445818.7
Blue35
393213.4
58726.6
541010.6
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions433201020506070804335

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6300
#16
19.20.0
15.916.0
Auto5.9
Teleop10.7
End2.5
red by 5.8
3932
#19
13.40.3
12.212.0
Auto3.9
Teleop6.5
End3.0
Second
4458
#11
18.70.0
15.615.7
Auto9.7
Teleop7.5
End1.4
red by 8.1
5410
#27
10.60.3
12.111.8
Auto5.3
Teleop4.7
End0.6
Third
3627
#39
5.10.0
6.16.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop4.3
End1.1
blue by 1.5
5872
#33
6.60.3
6.05.8
Auto1.4
Teleop4.1
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
20%Melody oddsMissed6%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed13%Ensemble oddsMissed