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Red27
97798.7
317318.6
94048.8
Blue58
555725.5
7449.7
877516.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3440102030506070802758

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3173
#15
18.61.5
15.113.6
Auto6.0
Teleop11.5
End1.0
blue by 6.9
5557
#10
25.52.3
15.117.4
Auto13.5
Teleop10.1
End1.8
Second
9404
#29
8.81.5
11.19.6
Auto4.3
Teleop3.3
End1.2
blue by 7.7
8775
#13
16.52.3
13.515.8
Auto8.2
Teleop7.1
End1.2
Third
9779
#22
8.71.5
5.03.5
Auto2.5
Teleop3.9
End2.3
blue by 1.0
744
#32
9.72.3
6.58.8
Auto3.1
Teleop4.8
End1.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
15%Melody oddsMissed9%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed18%Ensemble oddsMissed