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Red43
152312.8
97259.3
765211.3
Blue44
17930.3
88616.3
21529.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions304501020405060704344

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1523
#20
12.81.6
12.714.3
Auto3.3
Teleop7.9
End1.6
blue by 17.4
179
#1
30.30.6
22.523.0
Auto14.1
Teleop10.4
End5.7
Second
7652
#38
11.31.6
9.010.6
Auto1.6
Teleop7.8
End1.9
red by 1.8
2152
#17
9.60.6
7.48.0
Auto4.3
Teleop4.8
End0.5
Third
9725
#30
9.31.6
6.98.5
Auto2.1
Teleop5.9
End1.3
red by 3.0
8861
#26
6.30.6
8.89.4
Auto2.6
Teleop3.2
End0.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Melody
7%Melody oddsMissed16%Melody oddsMissed
Ensemble
8%Ensemble oddsMissed9%Ensemble oddsMissed